lost 2u last week as I attempted the 2/3 draw parlay system but only 1/3 games drew so all 4 half unit bets lost
YTD 7-7 +19.29
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto
- Getting some nice odds here as RSL are winless in 4 while Toronto have two 2 straight but I see a major gap in quality. TFC won 2-0 over Montreal last night and 2-0 vs Seattle last Sunday but that means they will now play their 3rd match in just 6 days. They unexpected started many of their main guys last night including de Guzman, De Rosario, and Barrett and now must travel 3000km to play the defending champs in the altitude of Salt Lake City. TFC's match last night will have taken a lot out of them even though they were up a man for most of the match. It was a nasty game with 7 cards and 9' of stoppage time (just in the first half!) with two TFC guys getting knocked out (one took 22 stitches). Even though they were up a man against a USSF 2nd division team for 70' TFC only scored 1 time in that span. They caught Seattle playing 2nd match in 4 days on Sunday and beat them 2-0 but now are in that situation themselves. Seattle simply wore down in that match, pressuring and dominating TFC early but allowing two 2nd half goals despite an 11-5 shots advantage. RSL will be highly motivated now that they are back home for 3 straight especially since starting the year with 4/5 road games collecting just 3 points away from Rio Tinto. Last week they played in a Columbus monsoon but held Cbus, the best team in East, to just 1 SOG yet lost 1-0 on a late 1st half penalty. That makes 3 penalty shots conceded out of their 5 road goals allowed which means they certainly need to clamp down on penalty area defense but area also not conceding during the run of play. TFC haven't won a road match since July while RSL are consistently a top home team with just 1 loss in last 16. They have far more all around talent than TFC and catch them in a very bad travelling situation with old man De Rosario needing to play his 3rd match in 6 days and, right now, he's the only guy that can score on their roster. This game reminds me a ton of last year when RSL faced New England early in the year at home. New England came into the game 2-2-0 while RSL had just beat by NYRB and the Revs got hammered 6-0, just wilting in the altitude while allowing all 6 goals in 2H. I expect a win by 2+ goals though might be 0-0 HT. Similar to how they fared in Colorado I believe TFC will hang around but, in the end, fly back home without a point.
Real Salt Lake 6u -120
YTD 7-7 +19.29
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto
- Getting some nice odds here as RSL are winless in 4 while Toronto have two 2 straight but I see a major gap in quality. TFC won 2-0 over Montreal last night and 2-0 vs Seattle last Sunday but that means they will now play their 3rd match in just 6 days. They unexpected started many of their main guys last night including de Guzman, De Rosario, and Barrett and now must travel 3000km to play the defending champs in the altitude of Salt Lake City. TFC's match last night will have taken a lot out of them even though they were up a man for most of the match. It was a nasty game with 7 cards and 9' of stoppage time (just in the first half!) with two TFC guys getting knocked out (one took 22 stitches). Even though they were up a man against a USSF 2nd division team for 70' TFC only scored 1 time in that span. They caught Seattle playing 2nd match in 4 days on Sunday and beat them 2-0 but now are in that situation themselves. Seattle simply wore down in that match, pressuring and dominating TFC early but allowing two 2nd half goals despite an 11-5 shots advantage. RSL will be highly motivated now that they are back home for 3 straight especially since starting the year with 4/5 road games collecting just 3 points away from Rio Tinto. Last week they played in a Columbus monsoon but held Cbus, the best team in East, to just 1 SOG yet lost 1-0 on a late 1st half penalty. That makes 3 penalty shots conceded out of their 5 road goals allowed which means they certainly need to clamp down on penalty area defense but area also not conceding during the run of play. TFC haven't won a road match since July while RSL are consistently a top home team with just 1 loss in last 16. They have far more all around talent than TFC and catch them in a very bad travelling situation with old man De Rosario needing to play his 3rd match in 6 days and, right now, he's the only guy that can score on their roster. This game reminds me a ton of last year when RSL faced New England early in the year at home. New England came into the game 2-2-0 while RSL had just beat by NYRB and the Revs got hammered 6-0, just wilting in the altitude while allowing all 6 goals in 2H. I expect a win by 2+ goals though might be 0-0 HT. Similar to how they fared in Colorado I believe TFC will hang around but, in the end, fly back home without a point.
Real Salt Lake 6u -120
